Burnfoot, Stocksfield NE43 7TN, UK
E-mail: dickmadeley{at}aol.com
Mr Da Silva and colleagues' sensible paper on prescribing neuroaminidase inhibitors for influenza in general practice (February 2003 JRSM1) attempts to put their use into a realistic contexti.e. those presenting within 36 hours of onset. Their results are nonetheless based on soft data. A considerable proportion of influenza-like illnesses in patients of all ages are not due to influenza viruses (as Da Silva et al. acknowledge) and this proportion is liable to increase both when flu is reported in the media as being present and when patients and doctors become aware that a cure may be available.
Hence, it will be very difficult to assess whether such drugs are genuinely useful in general practice unless one or more studies are done in which a diagnostic virus laboratory is used to confirm the cause in each case. Given the considerable practical difficulties of doing this, a well-prepared prospective study is necessary. In its absence, there is a danger of overprescribing; and, just as bad, overuse will discredit a useful group of drugs. It would be in the interest of the manufacturer(s) to sponsor such a study, as well as a search for a reliable and fast (< 1 hour) test.
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